Riftrate · February 2022
World tension in February 2022
In February 2022, Riftrate averaged 84.0 (Crisis), up 24.6 points from January 2022. It peaked at 99.5 on 28 February 2022 and was lowest at 69.3 on 10 February 2022. Major event: Russia invades Ukraine (24 February 2022).
Average84.0Crisis
High99.528 February 2022
Low69.310 February 2022
Change vs January▲ +24.6average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Jan |
|---|---|---|
| War & military | 86 | ▲ +35.6 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 90 | ▲ +30.4 |
| Domestic unrest | 63 | ▲ +28.8 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 98 | ▲ +26.8 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 78 | ▲ +26.2 |
| Economic coercion | 90 | ▲ +24.1 |
| Escalation momentum | 59 | ▼ −17.2 |
| Media tone | 51 | ▼ −2.6 |
February 2022 in context
By its average, February 2022 was the 6th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 28 of its 28 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 39.3 points higher than in February 2021 (44.7). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (27.2%), Syria (20.6%), Gaza and the West Bank (19.6%). Also this month: Russian banks cut from SWIFT (26 February 2022).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 February 2022 | 99.5 | Crisis | ▲ +0.3 |
| 27 February 2022 | 99.2 | Crisis | ▲ +0.6 |
| 26 February 2022 | 98.6 | Crisis | ▲ +1.0 |
| 25 February 2022 | 97.6 | Crisis | ▲ +1.8 |
| 24 February 2022 | 95.8 | Crisis | ▲ +2.7 |
| 23 February 2022 | 93.1 | Crisis | ▲ +1.0 |
| 22 February 2022 | 92.1 | Crisis | ▲ +0.9 |
| 21 February 2022 | 91.1 | Crisis | ▲ +1.4 |
| 20 February 2022 | 89.8 | Crisis | ▲ +1.2 |
| 19 February 2022 | 88.5 | Crisis | ▲ +2.5 |
| 18 February 2022 | 86.0 | Crisis | ▲ +1.8 |
| 17 February 2022 | 84.2 | Crisis | ▲ +0.7 |
| 16 February 2022 | 83.5 | Crisis | ▲ +0.9 |
| 15 February 2022 | 82.6 | Crisis | ▲ +2.0 |
| 14 February 2022 | 80.6 | Crisis | ▲ +3.4 |
| 13 February 2022 | 77.2 | Crisis | ▲ +3.8 |
| 12 February 2022 | 73.4 | Tension | ▲ +2.9 |
| 11 February 2022 | 70.5 | Tension | ▲ +1.1 |
| 10 February 2022 | 69.3 | Tension | ▼ −2.4 |
| 9 February 2022 | 71.7 | Tension | ▼ −1.6 |
| 8 February 2022 | 73.3 | Tension | ▼ −1.8 |
| 7 February 2022 | 75.1 | Tension | ▼ −2.9 |
| 6 February 2022 | 78.0 | Crisis | ▼ −1.9 |
| 5 February 2022 | 79.9 | Crisis | ▼ −0.6 |
| 4 February 2022 | 80.5 | Crisis | 0.0 |
| 3 February 2022 | 80.6 | Crisis | ▲ +0.5 |
| 2 February 2022 | 80.1 | Crisis | ▼ −0.9 |
| 1 February 2022 | 81.0 | Crisis | ▼ −1.3 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in February 2022?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 84.0 (Crisis) in February 2022: the 6th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of February 2022?
28 February 2022, when Riftrate read 99.5 (Crisis).
Which countries were most tense in February 2022?
Yemen (27.2% of its news about armed violence), Syria (20.6% of its news about armed violence), Gaza and the West Bank (19.6% of its news about armed violence).