Riftrate · January 2022
World tension in January 2022
In January 2022, Riftrate averaged 59.4 (Tension), up 16.7 points from December 2021. It peaked at 85.1 on 28 January 2022 and was lowest at 19.7 on 1 January 2022.
Average59.4Tension
High85.128 January 2022
Low19.71 January 2022
Change vs December▲ +16.7average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Dec |
|---|---|---|
| Media tone | 53 | ▲ +44.3 |
| Escalation momentum | 77 | ▲ +25.4 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 52 | ▲ +22.7 |
| War & military | 51 | ▲ +17.4 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 71 | ▲ +7.3 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 60 | ▲ +2.1 |
| Economic coercion | 65 | ▲ +0.7 |
| Domestic unrest | 34 | ▼ −0.1 |
January 2022 in context
By its average, January 2022 was the 32nd tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 19 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 9 in Easing or Complacency. That is 18.1 points higher than in January 2021 (41.3). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (26.5%), Gaza and the West Bank (19.8%), Myanmar (19.3%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 January 2022 | 82.3 | Crisis | ▼ −1.4 |
| 30 January 2022 | 83.7 | Crisis | ▼ −0.6 |
| 29 January 2022 | 84.3 | Crisis | ▼ −0.8 |
| 28 January 2022 | 85.1 | Crisis | ▲ +0.1 |
| 27 January 2022 | 85.0 | Crisis | ▲ +0.4 |
| 26 January 2022 | 84.6 | Crisis | ▲ +1.4 |
| 25 January 2022 | 83.2 | Crisis | ▲ +2.6 |
| 24 January 2022 | 80.6 | Crisis | ▲ +3.2 |
| 23 January 2022 | 77.4 | Crisis | ▲ +1.5 |
| 22 January 2022 | 75.9 | Crisis | ▲ +1.8 |
| 21 January 2022 | 74.1 | Tension | ▲ +0.5 |
| 20 January 2022 | 73.6 | Tension | ▲ +0.1 |
| 19 January 2022 | 73.5 | Tension | ▲ +3.0 |
| 18 January 2022 | 70.5 | Tension | ▲ +1.1 |
| 17 January 2022 | 69.4 | Tension | ▲ +1.2 |
| 16 January 2022 | 68.2 | Tension | ▲ +1.6 |
| 15 January 2022 | 66.6 | Tension | ▲ +2.3 |
| 14 January 2022 | 64.3 | Tension | ▲ +4.2 |
| 13 January 2022 | 60.1 | Tension | ▲ +5.7 |
| 12 January 2022 | 54.4 | Neutral | ▲ +2.5 |
| 11 January 2022 | 51.9 | Neutral | ▲ +6.3 |
| 10 January 2022 | 45.7 | Neutral | ▲ +6.0 |
| 9 January 2022 | 39.6 | Easing | ▲ +3.2 |
| 8 January 2022 | 36.4 | Easing | ▲ +4.1 |
| 7 January 2022 | 32.3 | Easing | ▲ +4.2 |
| 6 January 2022 | 28.1 | Easing | ▲ +1.3 |
| 5 January 2022 | 26.8 | Easing | ▲ +3.8 |
| 4 January 2022 | 23.0 | Complacency | ▲ +1.8 |
| 3 January 2022 | 21.2 | Complacency | ▲ +0.7 |
| 2 January 2022 | 20.6 | Complacency | ▲ +0.9 |
| 1 January 2022 | 19.7 | Complacency | ▲ +0.4 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in January 2022?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 59.4 (Tension) in January 2022: the 32nd tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of January 2022?
28 January 2022, when Riftrate read 85.1 (Crisis).
Which countries were most tense in January 2022?
Yemen (26.5% of its news about armed violence), Gaza and the West Bank (19.8% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (19.3% of its news about armed violence).