Riftrate · December 2021
World tension in December 2021
In December 2021, Riftrate averaged 42.7 (Easing), down 6.3 points from November 2021. It peaked at 65.1 on 11 December 2021 and was lowest at 19.3 on 31 December 2021.
Average42.7Easing
High65.111 December 2021
Low19.331 December 2021
Change vs November▼ −6.3average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Nov |
|---|---|---|
| War & military | 33 | ▼ −22.6 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 29 | ▼ −18.5 |
| Domestic unrest | 34 | ▼ −17.9 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 64 | ▲ +16.2 |
| Media tone | 9 | ▼ −8.4 |
| Economic coercion | 65 | ▲ +5.0 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 58 | ▲ +2.4 |
| Escalation momentum | 51 | ▲ +2.0 |
December 2021 in context
By its average, December 2021 was the 67th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 8 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 17 in Easing or Complacency. That is 17.5 points higher than in December 2020 (25.2). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (24.8%), Gaza and the West Bank (17.8%), Myanmar (16.8%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 December 2021 | 19.3 | Complacency | ▼ −1.0 |
| 30 December 2021 | 20.3 | Complacency | ▼ −0.8 |
| 29 December 2021 | 21.1 | Complacency | ▼ −3.3 |
| 28 December 2021 | 24.4 | Complacency | ▼ −2.1 |
| 27 December 2021 | 26.5 | Easing | ▼ −1.5 |
| 26 December 2021 | 28.1 | Easing | ▼ −3.2 |
| 25 December 2021 | 31.2 | Easing | ▼ −4.3 |
| 24 December 2021 | 35.5 | Easing | ▼ −3.7 |
| 23 December 2021 | 39.2 | Easing | ▼ −2.9 |
| 22 December 2021 | 42.0 | Easing | ▼ −1.2 |
| 21 December 2021 | 43.2 | Easing | ▼ −3.1 |
| 20 December 2021 | 46.3 | Neutral | ▼ −3.8 |
| 19 December 2021 | 50.1 | Neutral | ▼ −0.6 |
| 18 December 2021 | 50.7 | Neutral | ▼ −2.7 |
| 17 December 2021 | 53.4 | Neutral | ▼ −3.5 |
| 16 December 2021 | 56.9 | Tension | ▼ −1.7 |
| 15 December 2021 | 58.5 | Tension | ▼ −3.5 |
| 14 December 2021 | 62.0 | Tension | ▼ −2.5 |
| 13 December 2021 | 64.5 | Tension | ▼ −0.3 |
| 12 December 2021 | 64.8 | Tension | ▼ −0.2 |
| 11 December 2021 | 65.1 | Tension | ▲ +1.5 |
| 10 December 2021 | 63.5 | Tension | ▲ +4.1 |
| 9 December 2021 | 59.4 | Tension | ▲ +4.6 |
| 8 December 2021 | 54.9 | Neutral | ▲ +6.6 |
| 7 December 2021 | 48.3 | Neutral | ▲ +8.0 |
| 6 December 2021 | 40.2 | Easing | ▲ +5.1 |
| 5 December 2021 | 35.2 | Easing | ▲ +2.8 |
| 4 December 2021 | 32.4 | Easing | ▲ +2.2 |
| 3 December 2021 | 30.2 | Easing | ▲ +1.9 |
| 2 December 2021 | 28.3 | Easing | ▲ +0.6 |
| 1 December 2021 | 27.7 | Easing | ▼ −1.5 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in December 2021?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 42.7 (Easing) in December 2021: the 67th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of December 2021?
11 December 2021, when Riftrate read 65.1 (Tension).
Which countries were most tense in December 2021?
Yemen (24.8% of its news about armed violence), Gaza and the West Bank (17.8% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (16.8% of its news about armed violence).