Riftrate · December 2019
World tension in December 2019
In December 2019, Riftrate averaged 30.4 (Easing), up 0.4 points from November 2019. It peaked at 42.5 on 18 December 2019 and was lowest at 15.9 on 28 December 2019.
Average30.4Easing
High42.518 December 2019
Low15.928 December 2019
Change vs November▲ +0.4average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Nov |
|---|---|---|
| Economic coercion | 48 | ▲ +32.9 |
| Media tone | 66 | ▲ +20.7 |
| War & military | 18 | ▼ −13.6 |
| Domestic unrest | 58 | ▼ −10.4 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 21 | ▼ −6.5 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 18 | ▲ +6.0 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 15 | ▼ −4.6 |
| Escalation momentum | 66 | ▲ +1.3 |
December 2019 in context
By its average, December 2019 was the 94th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 31 in Easing or Complacency. That is 5.1 points lower than in December 2018 (35.5). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Burkina Faso (22.7%), Syria (19.3%), Yemen (17.1%). Also this month: UK election: Conservative majority (12 December 2019).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 December 2019 | 21.4 | Complacency | ▲ +3.7 |
| 30 December 2019 | 17.7 | Complacency | ▲ +1.6 |
| 29 December 2019 | 16.0 | Complacency | ▲ +0.1 |
| 28 December 2019 | 15.9 | Complacency | ▼ −1.2 |
| 27 December 2019 | 17.1 | Complacency | ▼ −3.1 |
| 26 December 2019 | 20.2 | Complacency | ▼ −6.2 |
| 25 December 2019 | 26.3 | Easing | ▼ −8.0 |
| 24 December 2019 | 34.3 | Easing | ▼ −4.1 |
| 23 December 2019 | 38.4 | Easing | ▼ −1.2 |
| 22 December 2019 | 39.6 | Easing | 0.0 |
| 21 December 2019 | 39.7 | Easing | 0.0 |
| 20 December 2019 | 39.7 | Easing | ▼ −1.7 |
| 19 December 2019 | 41.4 | Easing | ▼ −1.1 |
| 18 December 2019 | 42.5 | Easing | ▲ +1.0 |
| 17 December 2019 | 41.4 | Easing | ▲ +3.0 |
| 16 December 2019 | 38.5 | Easing | ▲ +2.3 |
| 15 December 2019 | 36.2 | Easing | ▼ −0.9 |
| 14 December 2019 | 37.1 | Easing | ▼ −1.3 |
| 13 December 2019 | 38.4 | Easing | ▼ −0.2 |
| 12 December 2019 | 38.6 | Easing | ▲ +2.7 |
| 11 December 2019 | 35.9 | Easing | ▲ +2.7 |
| 10 December 2019 | 33.3 | Easing | ▲ +0.3 |
| 9 December 2019 | 33.0 | Easing | ▼ −0.7 |
| 8 December 2019 | 33.7 | Easing | ▲ +1.0 |
| 7 December 2019 | 32.7 | Easing | ▲ +4.5 |
| 6 December 2019 | 28.2 | Easing | ▲ +5.5 |
| 5 December 2019 | 22.6 | Complacency | ▲ +2.7 |
| 4 December 2019 | 19.9 | Complacency | ▼ −0.8 |
| 3 December 2019 | 20.8 | Complacency | ▼ −0.4 |
| 2 December 2019 | 21.1 | Complacency | ▲ +1.3 |
| 1 December 2019 | 19.8 | Complacency | ▲ +0.7 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in December 2019?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 30.4 (Easing) in December 2019: the 94th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of December 2019?
18 December 2019, when Riftrate read 42.5 (Easing).
Which countries were most tense in December 2019?
Burkina Faso (22.7% of its news about armed violence), Syria (19.3% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (17.1% of its news about armed violence).