Riftrate · August 2025
World tension in August 2025
In August 2025, Riftrate averaged 50.6 (Neutral), up 5.9 points from July 2025. It peaked at 61.1 on 3 August 2025 and was lowest at 39.9 on 21 August 2025.
Average50.6Neutral
High61.13 August 2025
Low39.921 August 2025
Change vs July▲ +5.9average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Jul |
|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic rupture | 60 | ▲ +14.6 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 70 | ▲ +11.3 |
| Escalation momentum | 46 | ▼ −4.2 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 49 | ▲ +3.7 |
| Domestic unrest | 32 | ▲ +2.3 |
| Economic coercion | 44 | ▲ +1.5 |
| War & military | 37 | ▲ +1.1 |
| Media tone | 59 | ▲ +0.2 |
August 2025 in context
By its average, August 2025 was the 49th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 9 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 5 in Easing or Complacency. That is 17.6 points lower than in August 2024 (68.2). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (21.1%), Gaza and the West Bank (20.7%), Myanmar (17.9%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 August 2025 | 57.9 | Tension | ▲ +0.6 |
| 30 August 2025 | 57.3 | Tension | ▲ +2.7 |
| 29 August 2025 | 54.6 | Neutral | ▲ +3.5 |
| 28 August 2025 | 51.1 | Neutral | ▲ +2.6 |
| 27 August 2025 | 48.5 | Neutral | ▲ +1.9 |
| 26 August 2025 | 46.6 | Neutral | ▲ +2.0 |
| 25 August 2025 | 44.6 | Neutral | 0.0 |
| 24 August 2025 | 44.6 | Neutral | ▲ +1.6 |
| 23 August 2025 | 43.0 | Easing | ▲ +2.7 |
| 22 August 2025 | 40.3 | Easing | ▲ +0.3 |
| 21 August 2025 | 39.9 | Easing | ▼ −0.6 |
| 20 August 2025 | 40.5 | Easing | ▼ −1.4 |
| 19 August 2025 | 41.9 | Easing | ▼ −2.7 |
| 18 August 2025 | 44.5 | Neutral | ▼ −1.6 |
| 17 August 2025 | 46.2 | Neutral | ▼ −1.3 |
| 16 August 2025 | 47.5 | Neutral | ▼ −2.3 |
| 15 August 2025 | 49.8 | Neutral | ▼ −1.2 |
| 14 August 2025 | 51.0 | Neutral | ▲ +0.9 |
| 13 August 2025 | 50.0 | Neutral | ▲ +0.4 |
| 12 August 2025 | 49.6 | Neutral | ▲ +0.2 |
| 11 August 2025 | 49.5 | Neutral | ▲ +0.2 |
| 10 August 2025 | 49.3 | Neutral | ▼ −2.4 |
| 9 August 2025 | 51.6 | Neutral | ▼ −2.1 |
| 8 August 2025 | 53.7 | Neutral | ▼ −2.1 |
| 7 August 2025 | 55.8 | Tension | ▼ −2.4 |
| 6 August 2025 | 58.2 | Tension | ▼ −1.9 |
| 5 August 2025 | 60.1 | Tension | ▼ −0.8 |
| 4 August 2025 | 61.0 | Tension | ▼ −0.1 |
| 3 August 2025 | 61.1 | Tension | ▲ +0.6 |
| 2 August 2025 | 60.4 | Tension | ▲ +1.1 |
| 1 August 2025 | 59.3 | Tension | ▲ +2.3 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in August 2025?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 50.6 (Neutral) in August 2025: the 49th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of August 2025?
3 August 2025, when Riftrate read 61.1 (Tension).
Which countries were most tense in August 2025?
Yemen (21.1% of its news about armed violence), Gaza and the West Bank (20.7% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (17.9% of its news about armed violence).