RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in September 2023

In September 2023, Riftrate averaged 62.9 (Tension), down 14.1 points from August 2023. It peaked at 73.8 on 25 September 2023 and was lowest at 48.5 on 11 September 2023.

Average62.9Tension
High73.825 September 2023
Low48.511 September 2023
Change vs August▼ −14.1average to average
Riftrate · September 2023
025507510017 Aug24 Aug31 Aug7 Sep14 Sep21 Sep28 Sep
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
SignalAveragevs Aug
Escalation momentum23▼ −63.4
Media tone6▼ −34.7
Economic coercion51▲ +6.6
Terrorism & mass violence89▼ −6.2
War & military91▼ −4.4
Geopolitical risk (GPR)46▲ +2.1
Domestic unrest90▼ −1.1
Diplomatic rupture77▲ +0.1

September 2023 in context

By its average, September 2023 was the 25th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 23 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 21.4 points higher than in September 2022 (41.5). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (29.2%), Myanmar (19.6%), Syria (18.8%).

Day by day
DayRiftrateZoneDay change
30 September 202361.8Tension▼ −0.3
29 September 202362.1Tension▼ −2.3
28 September 202364.4Tension▼ −4.1
27 September 202368.5Tension▼ −3.1
26 September 202371.6Tension▼ −2.2
25 September 202373.8Tension▲ +0.2
24 September 202373.7Tension▲ +0.5
23 September 202373.2Tension0.0
22 September 202373.2Tension▲ +0.9
21 September 202372.2Tension▲ +2.3
20 September 202370.0Tension▲ +2.9
19 September 202367.0Tension▲ +3.2
18 September 202363.9Tension▲ +2.3
17 September 202361.6Tension▲ +2.5
16 September 202359.0Tension▲ +3.0
15 September 202356.0Tension▲ +2.9
14 September 202353.1Neutral▲ +2.3
13 September 202350.8Neutral▲ +1.6
12 September 202349.2Neutral▲ +0.7
11 September 202348.5Neutral▼ −0.6
10 September 202349.1Neutral▼ −2.2
9 September 202351.3Neutral▼ −3.6
8 September 202354.9Neutral▼ −2.8
7 September 202357.7Tension▼ −3.3
6 September 202361.0Tension▼ −3.8
5 September 202364.8Tension▼ −2.2
4 September 202367.0Tension▼ −1.9
3 September 202369.0Tension▼ −0.8
2 September 202369.7Tension▲ +0.1
1 September 202369.7Tension▲ +1.5
Previous: August 2023All of 2023Next: October 2023

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in September 2023?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 62.9 (Tension) in September 2023: the 25th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of September 2023?

25 September 2023, when Riftrate read 73.8 (Tension).

Which countries were most tense in September 2023?

Gaza and the West Bank (29.2% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (19.6% of its news about armed violence), Syria (18.8% of its news about armed violence).