Riftrate · December 2018
World tension in December 2018
In December 2018, Riftrate averaged 35.5 (Easing), down 6.5 points from November 2018. It peaked at 62.4 on 1 December 2018 and was lowest at 16.6 on 30 December 2018.
Average35.5Easing
High62.41 December 2018
Low16.630 December 2018
Change vs November▼ −6.5average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Nov |
|---|---|---|
| War & military | 15 | ▼ −39.9 |
| Economic coercion | 46 | ▼ −27.8 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 12 | ▼ −25.8 |
| Media tone | 48 | ▲ +20.0 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 42 | ▲ +18.2 |
| Domestic unrest | 60 | ▲ +17.5 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 42 | ▲ +4.7 |
| Escalation momentum | 57 | ▼ −1.6 |
December 2018 in context
By its average, December 2018 was the 86th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 2 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 28 in Easing or Complacency. The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (20.0%), Afghanistan (19.0%), Syria (17.4%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 December 2018 | 16.7 | Complacency | 0.0 |
| 30 December 2018 | 16.6 | Complacency | ▼ −0.6 |
| 29 December 2018 | 17.3 | Complacency | ▼ −1.6 |
| 28 December 2018 | 18.9 | Complacency | ▼ −4.5 |
| 27 December 2018 | 23.4 | Complacency | ▼ −4.8 |
| 26 December 2018 | 28.2 | Easing | ▼ −2.1 |
| 25 December 2018 | 30.2 | Easing | ▼ −4.1 |
| 24 December 2018 | 34.3 | Easing | ▼ −2.3 |
| 23 December 2018 | 36.6 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 22 December 2018 | 36.7 | Easing | ▼ −0.2 |
| 21 December 2018 | 36.9 | Easing | ▲ +0.9 |
| 20 December 2018 | 36.0 | Easing | ▼ −1.2 |
| 19 December 2018 | 37.3 | Easing | ▼ −3.1 |
| 18 December 2018 | 40.3 | Easing | ▼ −2.6 |
| 17 December 2018 | 42.9 | Easing | ▼ −0.8 |
| 16 December 2018 | 43.7 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 15 December 2018 | 43.8 | Easing | ▲ +0.1 |
| 14 December 2018 | 43.7 | Easing | ▲ +0.5 |
| 13 December 2018 | 43.2 | Easing | ▲ +2.4 |
| 12 December 2018 | 40.8 | Easing | ▲ +3.1 |
| 11 December 2018 | 37.7 | Easing | ▲ +3.5 |
| 10 December 2018 | 34.1 | Easing | ▲ +3.6 |
| 9 December 2018 | 30.5 | Easing | ▲ +1.7 |
| 8 December 2018 | 28.8 | Easing | ▼ −0.2 |
| 7 December 2018 | 29.0 | Easing | ▼ −1.8 |
| 6 December 2018 | 30.7 | Easing | ▼ −3.4 |
| 5 December 2018 | 34.1 | Easing | ▼ −6.1 |
| 4 December 2018 | 40.2 | Easing | ▼ −7.9 |
| 3 December 2018 | 48.1 | Neutral | ▼ −9.1 |
| 2 December 2018 | 57.1 | Tension | ▼ −5.3 |
| 1 December 2018 | 62.4 | Tension | ▲ +0.5 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in December 2018?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 35.5 (Easing) in December 2018: the 86th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of December 2018?
1 December 2018, when Riftrate read 62.4 (Tension).
Which countries were most tense in December 2018?
Gaza and the West Bank (20.0% of its news about armed violence), Afghanistan (19.0% of its news about armed violence), Syria (17.4% of its news about armed violence).