Riftrate · September 2021
World tension in September 2021
In September 2021, Riftrate averaged 45.6 (Neutral), up 6.8 points from August 2021. It peaked at 72.0 on 1 September 2021 and was lowest at 35.0 on 10 September 2021.
Average45.6Neutral
High72.01 September 2021
Low35.010 September 2021
Change vs August▲ +6.8average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Aug |
|---|---|---|
| Media tone | 15 | ▼ −46.0 |
| Escalation momentum | 21 | ▼ −35.1 |
| Domestic unrest | 46 | ▲ +34.4 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 57 | ▲ +22.7 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 73 | ▲ +21.5 |
| War & military | 71 | ▲ +18.5 |
| Economic coercion | 24 | ▲ +7.6 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 47 | ▲ +5.6 |
September 2021 in context
By its average, September 2021 was the 56th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 5 of its 30 days in Tension or Crisis and 17 in Easing or Complacency. That is 3.0 points higher than in September 2020 (42.6). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Yemen (28.6%), Gaza and the West Bank (19.9%), Myanmar (16.9%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 September 2021 | 55.5 | Tension | ▲ +4.0 |
| 29 September 2021 | 51.5 | Neutral | ▲ +3.9 |
| 28 September 2021 | 47.6 | Neutral | ▲ +4.3 |
| 27 September 2021 | 43.3 | Easing | ▲ +4.3 |
| 26 September 2021 | 39.0 | Easing | ▲ +2.9 |
| 25 September 2021 | 36.1 | Easing | ▼ −1.3 |
| 24 September 2021 | 37.4 | Easing | ▼ −2.5 |
| 23 September 2021 | 39.9 | Easing | ▼ −3.4 |
| 22 September 2021 | 43.3 | Easing | ▼ −1.7 |
| 21 September 2021 | 44.9 | Neutral | ▲ +0.1 |
| 20 September 2021 | 44.8 | Neutral | ▼ −0.9 |
| 19 September 2021 | 45.7 | Neutral | ▲ +0.2 |
| 18 September 2021 | 45.5 | Neutral | ▲ +1.3 |
| 17 September 2021 | 44.2 | Easing | ▲ +3.7 |
| 16 September 2021 | 40.5 | Easing | ▲ +1.8 |
| 15 September 2021 | 38.7 | Easing | ▼ −0.3 |
| 14 September 2021 | 39.0 | Easing | ▼ −0.8 |
| 13 September 2021 | 39.8 | Easing | ▲ +1.4 |
| 12 September 2021 | 38.3 | Easing | ▲ +0.6 |
| 11 September 2021 | 37.7 | Easing | ▲ +2.8 |
| 10 September 2021 | 35.0 | Easing | ▼ −1.9 |
| 9 September 2021 | 36.9 | Easing | ▼ −2.0 |
| 8 September 2021 | 38.9 | Easing | ▼ −2.1 |
| 7 September 2021 | 41.0 | Easing | ▼ −5.8 |
| 6 September 2021 | 46.8 | Neutral | ▼ −5.8 |
| 5 September 2021 | 52.6 | Neutral | ▼ −6.0 |
| 4 September 2021 | 58.6 | Tension | ▼ −6.5 |
| 3 September 2021 | 65.2 | Tension | ▼ −4.1 |
| 2 September 2021 | 69.3 | Tension | ▼ −2.8 |
| 1 September 2021 | 72.0 | Tension | 0.0 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in September 2021?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 45.6 (Neutral) in September 2021: the 56th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of September 2021?
1 September 2021, when Riftrate read 72.0 (Tension).
Which countries were most tense in September 2021?
Yemen (28.6% of its news about armed violence), Gaza and the West Bank (19.9% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (16.9% of its news about armed violence).