Riftrate · March 2019
World tension in March 2019
In March 2019, Riftrate averaged 55.3 (Neutral), up 16.3 points from February 2019. It peaked at 76.1 on 21 March 2019 and was lowest at 31.1 on 12 March 2019.
Average55.3Neutral
High76.121 March 2019
Low31.112 March 2019
Change vs February▲ +16.3average to average
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
| Signal | Average | vs Feb |
|---|---|---|
| Escalation momentum | 67 | ▲ +37.2 |
| War & military | 48 | ▲ +28.0 |
| Domestic unrest | 84 | ▲ +22.1 |
| Media tone | 54 | ▲ +18.1 |
| Geopolitical risk (GPR) | 35 | ▼ −17.3 |
| Terrorism & mass violence | 59 | ▲ +8.1 |
| Economic coercion | 52 | ▲ +6.6 |
| Diplomatic rupture | 60 | ▲ +0.4 |
March 2019 in context
By its average, March 2019 was the 40th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 16 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 9 in Easing or Complacency. That is 4.9 points lower than in March 2018 (60.2). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (24.2%), Somalia (20.8%), Yemen (19.2%).
Day by day
| Day | Riftrate | Zone | Day change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 March 2019 | 38.9 | Easing | ▼ −3.1 |
| 30 March 2019 | 42.0 | Easing | ▼ −4.6 |
| 29 March 2019 | 46.6 | Neutral | ▼ −5.5 |
| 28 March 2019 | 52.1 | Neutral | ▼ −1.9 |
| 27 March 2019 | 54.0 | Neutral | ▼ −3.2 |
| 26 March 2019 | 57.2 | Tension | ▼ −5.3 |
| 25 March 2019 | 62.5 | Tension | ▼ −5.5 |
| 24 March 2019 | 67.9 | Tension | ▼ −4.0 |
| 23 March 2019 | 71.9 | Tension | ▼ −2.9 |
| 22 March 2019 | 74.9 | Tension | ▼ −1.2 |
| 21 March 2019 | 76.1 | Crisis | ▲ +0.5 |
| 20 March 2019 | 75.6 | Crisis | ▲ +1.5 |
| 19 March 2019 | 74.1 | Tension | ▲ +5.0 |
| 18 March 2019 | 69.1 | Tension | ▲ +8.2 |
| 17 March 2019 | 60.9 | Tension | ▲ +8.3 |
| 16 March 2019 | 52.7 | Neutral | ▲ +9.7 |
| 15 March 2019 | 43.0 | Easing | ▲ +8.9 |
| 14 March 2019 | 34.1 | Easing | ▲ +1.1 |
| 13 March 2019 | 33.0 | Easing | ▲ +1.9 |
| 12 March 2019 | 31.1 | Easing | ▼ −0.1 |
| 11 March 2019 | 31.2 | Easing | ▼ −3.8 |
| 10 March 2019 | 35.0 | Easing | ▼ −4.7 |
| 9 March 2019 | 39.7 | Easing | ▼ −5.9 |
| 8 March 2019 | 45.6 | Neutral | ▼ −8.2 |
| 7 March 2019 | 53.8 | Neutral | ▼ −5.3 |
| 6 March 2019 | 59.1 | Tension | ▼ −6.1 |
| 5 March 2019 | 65.2 | Tension | ▼ −2.8 |
| 4 March 2019 | 68.0 | Tension | ▲ +0.8 |
| 3 March 2019 | 67.1 | Tension | ▲ +0.5 |
| 2 March 2019 | 66.7 | Tension | ▲ +2.0 |
| 1 March 2019 | 64.6 | Tension | ▲ +3.7 |
Frequently asked questions
How tense was the world in March 2019?
Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 55.3 (Neutral) in March 2019: the 40th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.
What was the tensest day of March 2019?
21 March 2019, when Riftrate read 76.1 (Crisis).
Which countries were most tense in March 2019?
Gaza and the West Bank (24.2% of its news about armed violence), Somalia (20.8% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (19.2% of its news about armed violence).