RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in July 2023

In July 2023, Riftrate averaged 72.0 (Tension), up 2.1 points from June 2023. It peaked at 80.3 on 25 July 2023 and was lowest at 66.4 on 17 July 2023.

Average72.0Tension
High80.325 July 2023
Low66.417 July 2023
Change vs June▲ +2.1average to average
Riftrate · July 2023
025507510016 Jun23 Jun30 Jun7 Jul14 Jul21 Jul28 Jul
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
SignalAveragevs Jun
Escalation momentum54▲ +26.7
Economic coercion42▼ −12.1
Media tone12▲ +7.5
Geopolitical risk (GPR)52▼ −3.7
Domestic unrest94▼ −2.7
War & military96▼ −1.8
Diplomatic rupture83▲ +0.9
Terrorism & mass violence97▲ +0.8

July 2023 in context

By its average, July 2023 was the 14th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 31 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 0 in Easing or Complacency. That is 13.2 points higher than in July 2022 (58.8). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Gaza and the West Bank (31.7%), Myanmar (19.2%), Sudan (19.1%). Also this month: Coup in Niger (26 July 2023).

Day by day
DayRiftrateZoneDay change
31 July 202373.0Tension▼ −0.5
30 July 202373.5Tension▼ −1.1
29 July 202374.7Tension▼ −1.3
28 July 202375.9Crisis▼ −1.5
27 July 202377.4Crisis▼ −1.3
26 July 202378.7Crisis▼ −1.6
25 July 202380.3Crisis▲ +0.6
24 July 202379.8Crisis▲ +2.9
23 July 202376.9Crisis▲ +2.3
22 July 202374.5Tension▲ +2.0
21 July 202372.5Tension▲ +1.9
20 July 202370.6Tension▲ +2.9
19 July 202367.7Tension▲ +1.2
18 July 202366.5Tension▲ +0.1
17 July 202366.4Tension▼ −0.8
16 July 202367.2Tension▼ −0.9
15 July 202368.1Tension▼ −0.2
14 July 202368.3Tension▼ −0.4
13 July 202368.8Tension▼ −1.8
12 July 202370.6Tension▲ +0.2
11 July 202370.4Tension▼ −0.6
10 July 202371.0Tension▼ −0.6
9 July 202371.6Tension▼ −1.1
8 July 202372.7Tension0.0
7 July 202372.7Tension▲ +1.2
6 July 202371.4Tension▲ +1.5
5 July 202369.9Tension▲ +0.7
4 July 202369.2Tension▼ −0.4
3 July 202369.6Tension▼ −1.4
2 July 202371.0Tension▼ −0.9
1 July 202371.9Tension▼ −0.9
Previous: June 2023All of 2023Next: August 2023

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in July 2023?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 72.0 (Tension) in July 2023: the 14th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of July 2023?

25 July 2023, when Riftrate read 80.3 (Crisis).

Which countries were most tense in July 2023?

Gaza and the West Bank (31.7% of its news about armed violence), Myanmar (19.2% of its news about armed violence), Sudan (19.1% of its news about armed violence).