RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in July 2021

In July 2021, Riftrate averaged 38.6 (Easing), up 2.1 points from June 2021. It peaked at 47.8 on 18 July 2021 and was lowest at 27.2 on 6 July 2021.

Average38.6Easing
High47.818 July 2021
Low27.26 July 2021
Change vs June▲ +2.1average to average
Riftrate · July 2021
025507510016 Jun23 Jun30 Jun7 Jul14 Jul21 Jul28 Jul
The signals this monthmonthly average, 0 = calm, 100 = tense
SignalAveragevs Jun
Escalation momentum48▲ +31.7
Media tone42▲ +27.7
Geopolitical risk (GPR)12▼ −19.4
Economic coercion36▼ −14.7
Terrorism & mass violence57▲ +9.3
Diplomatic rupture35▼ −7.5
War & military59▲ +3.4
Domestic unrest42▲ +0.1

July 2021 in context

By its average, July 2021 was the 76th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 24 in Easing or Complacency. That is 5.4 points lower than in July 2020 (44.0). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Somalia (21.8%), Yemen (20.3%), Iraq (18.5%).

Day by day
DayRiftrateZoneDay change
31 July 202130.1Easing▼ −3.2
30 July 202133.3Easing▼ −4.0
29 July 202137.3Easing▼ −4.4
28 July 202141.7Easing▼ −0.2
27 July 202141.9Easing▲ +0.4
26 July 202141.5Easing▼ −0.4
25 July 202141.9Easing▼ −0.7
24 July 202142.6Easing▼ −0.2
23 July 202142.8Easing▼ −0.1
22 July 202142.9Easing▼ −0.1
21 July 202143.0Easing▼ −2.7
20 July 202145.7Neutral▼ −1.5
19 July 202147.2Neutral▼ −0.6
18 July 202147.8Neutral▲ +0.9
17 July 202146.9Neutral▲ +0.7
16 July 202146.2Neutral▲ +0.5
15 July 202145.7Neutral▲ +1.1
14 July 202144.6Neutral▲ +2.3
13 July 202142.3Easing▲ +3.0
12 July 202139.3Easing▲ +2.5
11 July 202136.8Easing▲ +0.9
10 July 202136.0Easing▲ +1.9
9 July 202134.0Easing▲ +3.4
8 July 202130.6Easing▲ +2.8
7 July 202127.8Easing▲ +0.6
6 July 202127.2Easing▼ −2.1
5 July 202129.3Easing▼ −2.2
4 July 202131.6Easing▲ +0.5
3 July 202131.1Easing▼ −1.0
2 July 202132.1Easing▼ −2.7
1 July 202134.8Easing▼ −3.8
Previous: June 2021All of 2021Next: August 2021

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in July 2021?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 38.6 (Easing) in July 2021: the 76th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of July 2021?

18 July 2021, when Riftrate read 47.8 (Neutral).

Which countries were most tense in July 2021?

Somalia (21.8% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (20.3% of its news about armed violence), Iraq (18.5% of its news about armed violence).