RIFTRATE Get the gauge

World tension in July 2020

In July 2020, Riftrate averaged 44.0 (Easing), down 10.7 points from June 2020. It peaked at 48.9 on 27 July 2020 and was lowest at 37.8 on 31 July 2020.

Average44.0Easing
High48.927 July 2020
Low37.831 July 2020
Change vs June▼ −10.7average to average
Riftrate · July 2020
025507510016 Jun23 Jun30 Jun7 Jul14 Jul21 Jul28 Jul
SignalAveragevs Jun
Domestic unrest61▼ −28.1
Escalation momentum75▼ −20.2
War & military28▼ −19.9
Economic coercion54▲ +18.1
Diplomatic rupture69▲ +10.6
Geopolitical risk (GPR)16▼ −7.8
Media tone90▼ −6.2
Terrorism & mass violence22▼ −3.2

July 2020 in context

By its average, July 2020 was the 66th tensest of 104 months since March 2018. Riftrate spent 0 of its 31 days in Tension or Crisis and 13 in Easing or Complacency. That is 6.1 points higher than in July 2019 (37.9). The countries whose news was most about armed violence: Afghanistan (18.7%), Iraq (17.8%), Yemen (17.1%).

DayRiftrateZoneDay change
31 July 202037.8Easing▼ −3.7
30 July 202041.5Easing▼ −3.8
29 July 202045.3Neutral▼ −3.4
28 July 202048.6Neutral▼ −0.2
27 July 202048.9Neutral▲ +1.8
26 July 202047.1Neutral▲ +0.1
25 July 202047.0Neutral▼ −0.1
24 July 202047.1Neutral▲ +1.4
23 July 202045.7Neutral▲ +0.7
22 July 202045.0Neutral▼ −0.2
21 July 202045.2Neutral▼ −0.9
20 July 202046.2Neutral▼ −0.7
19 July 202046.8Neutral0.0
18 July 202046.8Neutral▲ +0.4
17 July 202046.4Neutral▼ −0.4
16 July 202046.8Neutral▲ +0.9
15 July 202045.9Neutral▲ +2.1
14 July 202043.7Easing▲ +1.4
13 July 202042.3Easing▲ +1.2
12 July 202041.1Easing▲ +0.9
11 July 202040.2Easing▲ +1.2
10 July 202039.0Easing▲ +1.1
9 July 202037.9Easing▼ −0.7
8 July 202038.5Easing▼ −1.1
7 July 202039.6Easing▼ −0.9
6 July 202040.6Easing▼ −1.6
5 July 202042.2Easing▼ −1.6
4 July 202043.8Easing▼ −1.3
3 July 202045.1Neutral▼ −0.6
2 July 202045.7Neutral▲ +0.9
1 July 202044.7Neutral▲ +0.7

Frequently asked questions

How tense was the world in July 2020?

Riftrate, the index of world tension from 0 (calm) to 100 (crisis), averaged 44.0 (Easing) in July 2020: the 66th tensest of 104 months since March 2018.

What was the tensest day of July 2020?

27 July 2020, when Riftrate read 48.9 (Neutral).

Which countries were most tense in July 2020?

Afghanistan (18.7% of its news about armed violence), Iraq (17.8% of its news about armed violence), Yemen (17.1% of its news about armed violence).